Saturday, October 18, 2008
Friday, October 17, 2008
Thursday, October 16, 2008
- Obama came across as calm and collected.
- McCain was disdainful, aggressive and petulant.
- McCain started off strong, but ended up getting flustered when his attacks weren't landing. He petered out as the debate wore on.
- The post-debate pundit spin was that McCain won...
- ...which was immediately disproven by the across the board sweep of all of the focus groups and snap polls that showed Obama wiped McCain out.
Obama definitely won the expectations game when it came to the debates. For whatever reason, it seemed to be a universally accepted fact that Obama was not a great debater.
However, one fact got lost in murky past of the brief Republican primary season: John McCain is a horrible at debating. All of the same traits that he evinces now were on display back then as well: his choppy style, his peevishly aggressive demeanor and his lack of familiarity or understanding of the economy.
Lucky for John McCain, he seemed to go up against the only person who was worse at debating than he was: Mitt Romney. That, coupled with the McCain-Mike Huckabee double teaming pretty much guaranteed that Romney was considered the loser of most of the Republican debates. But let's be honest, the Republican crop of candidates this year was pretty weak stuff.
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
I want McCain to lose, but let me offer some free advice:
That may have been an intriguing tactic six months ago. And probably a much better one at the RNC in September. But now, such a move would backfire worse than suspending his campaign again.
Every time people looked at McCain they would think one thing: Sarah Palin 2012.
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Biden was campaigning in Ohio, but had West Virginia on his mind late this afternoon, making a bold promise to win a state that has gone Republican in the past two elections.
“Which way is West-By-God-Virginia?” Biden asked the crowd Ohio University Eastern Campus, about 10 miles west of that state's border with Ohio. “I want to send a message to West Virginia -- we’re going to win in West Virginia! … We’re going to shock the living devil out of y’all!”
They offer charts comparing the feature lists of similarly priced Windows and Mac notebooks and make numerous accusations of an "Apple Tax." The email is interesting: nothing they say is incorrect, but none of it is new. Most importantly, all of it misses the point completely.Seriously. Talking points??
Hmm, maybe after this campaign is over, Steve Schmidt can get a job after all...
Wait a second:
(Left to right: Steve Schmidt, Steve Ballmer, artists' renditions)
Monday, October 13, 2008
“When Barack Obama is president we’re not gonna wait for our luck to change,” he said. “We’re gonna change our luck. We’re gonna change this country. In the neighborhood I come from, you make your own luck.”
"I'm not really into it."
On the other hand, Nate Silver is thrilled:
Is a walk as good as a hit?
Meanwhile, Dean Smith endorses Obama (for real):
Linnea and I respect all that Senator McCain has done for our country. However, we feel strongly that it is Barack Obama who offers the real leadership our nation needs to tap its potential as a land of opportunity -- even as we face difficult times at home and abroad. Senator Obama is a patriotic American, a committed Christian, a good family man, and a man who shares the bedrock values that most North Carolinians have in common: fairness, hard work, respect for others, and personal responsibility.
*** Money to burn? This past weekend, your First Read team had the luxury of watching some TV in the DC area (Northern Virginia). While enjoying college football games on Saturday, the Sunday morning news shows, NFL games, and 60 Minutes, we probably viewed 30-40 Obama TV ads. And get this -- we didn’t see a single McCain advertisement
Unless Chuck Todd is a die hard Notre Dame fan and really wanted to see them lose to #22 North Carolina, outside of possibly watching "Meet The Press," apparently none of the shows he watches over the weekend are on NBC...
Cue ten million jokes...now.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Sarah Palin is now out for herself. The next three and a half weeks should be fascinating.
From The Times of London:
With his electoral prospects fading by the day, Senator John McCain has fallen out with his vice-presidential running mate about the direction of his White House campaign.
“Sarah Palin is no fool. She sees the same thing and wants to salvage what she can. She is positioning herself for the future. Her best days could be in front of her. She wants to look as though she was the fighter, the person with the spunk who was out there taking it to the Democrats.”
In a new article in Newsweek, the author Holly Bailey claims that:
The man in charge of John McCain's day-to-day presidential campaign is tired of reporters saying he's Rove's "protégé"—the implication being that he is willing to do anything to win.
The article goes on to detail how "pained" Schmidt is this campaign has turned out this way--neglecting, of course, of the single-minded way that the McCain campaign, under Schmidt's direction, has injected toxic negativity at every turn.
The article also makes curious mention of one of Schmidt's prior jobs:
After Bush won in '04, Schmidt took a job at the White House working for Dick Cheney. The vice president had the worst persona in politics—his popularity was in the low 20s—and Schmidt was given the unenviable task of giving the dour, secretive vice president a personality makeover.
Hmm, a campaign consultant whose job was to make over the image of a violently unpopular Republican political figure. (A job he failed to do, by the way.)
Say... you don't suppose that Schmidt, with his client John McCain highly favored to lose--and lose big--isn't possibly trying to pull the same PR shenanigans with the press for himself, do you?
Exit Turd Blossom 2.0?
Enter the kinder, gentler Schmidt whose feelings get hurt when someone even mentions Rove in his presence?
Privately, Schmidt's friends say he has expressed worry about how he will be viewed after the campaign. "He does not desire to go through life with the tag of Karl Rove disciple attached to him," says one friend who asked not to be named talking about private conversations. "He has a life to go back to that has nothing to do with politics … But he also wants to win."
Aww, poor baby.
Maybe next time, Schmidty will realize that actions have consequences.
Hillary Clinton also planned return visits to Ohio and Florida in the next few days and has scheduled trips to Omaha, Neb., and Minnesota.Obama is serious about winning Nebraska-02 if he's sending Hillary there. She also just spent Friday in West Virginia, which according to recent polls may have suddenly come into play, as well as Arkansas, which is probably a longer shot.
The ultimate scenario for Obama is 375 EVs + Georgia (15), West Virginia (5), Nebraska-02 (1), Montana (3) and North Dakota (3).
402: that has to be the ultimate ceiling...right?